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Case 3 - SMA carrier risk calculation

This is a real-life example of a fairly straightforward situation, but which still presents some difficulties and training issues.

 


Pedigree drawing:

Clinical question and test results:

III1 is affected with SMA type I (OMIM 253300). Laboratory analysis by MLPA indicates homozygous deletion for SMN1. The mother (II2) is subsequently tested also and found to have a single copy of SMN1 - consistent with carrier status. Her sister (II3) sees a clinical geneticist regarding her carrier status. MLPA analysis is performed by the lab which indicates two copies of SMN1. It is most likely that she is not a carrier, but what is the residual risk?

Nobody else in the pedigree has been tested, although they are known to be clinically unaffected.

The complication for the risk calculation is that approximately 4% (3.8% according to the reference below) of 'normal' chromosomes have two copies of SMN1, which can mask a deletion on the other chromosome.

 

Assumptions:

Reference source for allele frequencies: Ogino et al, Eu J Hum Genet, 2004, Dec 12 (12) 1015-23.

0 - copy disease allele = 0.013

1 - copy disease allele = 0.00024

1 - copy normal allele = 0.95

2 - copy normal allele = 0.038

Assume all alleles are at Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium.

 


This 'brain-teaser' was published in the CMGS section of the BSHG newsletter (Issue 35; February 2007).

I would like to thank David Bourn and Vicky Stinton for help with this case.


 

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